Astrana Health Stock Performance
| ASTH Stock | 22.32 0.42 1.85% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.64, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Astrana Health are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Astrana Health is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Astrana Health has a negative expected return of -0.5%. Please make sure to confirm Astrana Health's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Astrana Health performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Astrana Health has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (4.66) | Five Day Return (4.96) | Year To Date Return (15.62) | Ten Year Return 270.09 | All Time Return 126.38 |
Last Split Factor 1:10 | Last Split Date 2015-04-27 |
1 | Disposition of 20000 shares by Mazdyasni Matthew of Astrana Health at 18.2 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/10/2025 |
2 | Jefferies lowers Astrana Health stock price target to 37 from 44 - Investing.com | 11/25/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 29502 shares by Lam Thomas S. of Astrana Health at 17.78 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/08/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 25866 shares by Lam Thomas S. of Astrana Health at 22.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/10/2025 |
5 | Astrana Health, Inc. Given Consensus Recommendation of Moderate Buy by Brokerages | 12/19/2025 |
6 | Research Analysts Recent Ratings Updates for Astrana Health | 12/31/2025 |
7 | Disposition of 3565 shares by Chiang John of Astrana Health at 47.35 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/02/2026 |
8 | Will Analyst Optimism and JPMorgan Spotlight Reframe Astrana Healths RiskReward Story | 01/07/2026 |
9 | Astrana Health Touts Delegated Risk Single Payer Model, Prospect Synergies, Reiterates 2025 Guide | 01/13/2026 |
10 | Disposition of 10759 shares by Kumar Dinesh M. of Astrana Health at 27.16 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/23/2026 |
11 | Astrana Health Stock Slide Presents An Attractive Entry Point Analyst - Benzinga | 01/28/2026 |
12 | Astrana Health Shares Gap Down Heres Why | 01/30/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 294.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -192.4 M |
Astrana Health Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,336 in Astrana Health on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,104) from holding Astrana Health or give up 33.09% of portfolio value over 90 days. Astrana Health is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.5381% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 49% of stocks are less volatile than Astrana, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Astrana Health Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Astrana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 22.32 | 90 days | 22.32 | about 78.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Astrana Health to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 78.51 (This Astrana Health probability density function shows the probability of Astrana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Astrana Health Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Astrana Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Astrana Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Astrana Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Astrana Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Astrana Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Astrana Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Astrana Health, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Astrana Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Astrana Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Astrana Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Astrana Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Astrana Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Astrana Health has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Astrana Health is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Astrana Health Shares Gap Down Heres Why |
Astrana Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Astrana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Astrana Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Astrana Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 290.8 M |
Astrana Health Fundamentals Growth
Astrana Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Astrana Health, and Astrana Health fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Astrana Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0183 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0288 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.74 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 50.16 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.38 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.37 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.03 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 296.97 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 141.84 M | ||||
| Net Income | 49.93 M | ||||
| Total Debt | 471.84 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 15.70 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 52.2 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.19 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.07 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.35 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 286.28 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 272.89 M | ||||
About Astrana Health Performance
By evaluating Astrana Health's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Astrana Health's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Astrana Health has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Astrana Health has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.05 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.08 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.05 | 0.06 |
Things to note about Astrana Health performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Astrana Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Astrana Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Astrana Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Astrana Health has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Astrana Health is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Astrana Health Shares Gap Down Heres Why |
- Analyzing Astrana Health's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Astrana Health's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Astrana Health's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Astrana Health's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Astrana Health's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Astrana Health's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Astrana Health's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Astrana Stock analysis
When running Astrana Health's price analysis, check to measure Astrana Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Astrana Health is operating at the current time. Most of Astrana Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Astrana Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Astrana Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Astrana Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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